Three weeks before the November 6 U.S. election, Obama leads Romney by 2 percentage points, with 47 percent support from likely voters in the national online poll, to 45 percent support for Romney.
The
margin was small enough to be a virtual tie, but Obama's slight edge
broadened from Sunday, when he went ahead of Romney by 1 point after
falling behind in the wake of Romney's decisive victory in their first
presidential debate on October 3. "Romney received a bump from
that first debate, but the very nature of a bump is it recedes again,"
Ipsos vice president Julia Clark said. "We're now seeing Obama regaining
a little bit of a foothold as we go into the second debate. They go
into the debate on equal footing." The two men meet again on
Tuesday night at New York's Hofstra University in a debate that Obama
needs to win to grab back the campaign momentum.
The third debate
is set for October 22 in Boca Raton, Florida. Obama's support in the new
Reuters/Ipsos survey was particularly strong among the 10 percent of
registered voters who have already cast their ballots.
Fifty-five
percent said they voted for the Democrat, compared to 43 percent for his
Republican challenger. POLICY GAINS Romney and his fellow Republicans
have been hitting Obama hard over his handling of diplomatic security,
blaming his administration for attacks in Egypt and Libya on September
11. The U.S. ambassador and three other Americans were killed in
Libya. But the poll did not find a groundswell of condemnation for the
White House. Forty-five percent of registered voters approved of
Obama's handling of the situation in Libya and Egypt and 40 percent
disapproved.
Thirty-eight percent backed Romney on the issue,
compared with 36 percent who did not. The incumbent also regained ground
in several policy areas since the first week after his bad debate. Forty-two
percent of registered voters said they thought Obama had a better plan
for healthcare, compared with 35 percent who said the same of Romney.
Obama's rating was up 4 points from October 10. Obama's
ratings on taxes also went up by four points, as did voters' view of
his plans for Social Security and Medicare by 3 points each. Romney's
scores each went up by 3 points on how he would handle the war on
terrorism and gay marriage, although Obama was still ahead on both. Thirty-seven
percent of registered voters picked Obama as having better policies for
dealing with terrorism, compared with 32 percent for Romney. And
43 percent favored Obama on gay marriage, compared with Romney's 25
percent. Romney kept a big lead of 38 percent to 29 percent on who has a
better plan for handling the deficit, and a small lead of 38-37 percent
on who would better handle the U.S. economy.
Obama was just ahead, at 39 percent to 38 percent, on jobs and employment. The precision of Reuters/Ipsos online polls is measured using a credibility interval. In
this case, the poll has a credibility interval of plus or minus 2.4
percentage points for registered voters and 2.6 for likely voters.
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